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European Arms Imports Surge as Domestic Defense Industry Struggles to Catch Up

But markets believe the continent is about to experience a boost in domestic production as Russia’s threat looms.
French soldiers carry a short-range air defence Mistral system, manufactured by MBDA, during a live mobility demonstration to present France's military capabilities in Versailles near Paris [File: Benoit Tessier/Reuters]

Over the past five years, European nations have significantly increased their arms imports, with the majority of their purchases coming from the United States. This shift raises concerns about Europe’s long-term goal of defense autonomy.

Recent analysis by a leading defense research institute reveals that European arms imports have more than doubled compared to the previous period, with two-thirds of these acquisitions originating from the U.S. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has intensified the demand for military equipment, forcing European nations to balance the need for immediate supplies with the challenge of strengthening their domestic defense industry.

While efforts to boost local production have gained momentum, many countries only started ramping up their arms manufacturing in the last year. Experts suggest that Europe’s slow response has left it unprepared for prolonged conflicts and evolving security threats.

Despite these challenges, some analysts believe that European nations have an opportunity to modernize their defense capabilities. With advancements in drone warfare and artificial intelligence, new military strategies may reduce reliance on traditional heavy armor. Additionally, Ukraine’s rapid expansion of its domestic weapons production highlights the potential for self-sufficiency in the defense sector.

However, Europe still faces competition in key areas. American-made fighter jets and missile defense systems remain preferred choices for many European nations, underscoring the gap between local capabilities and global market leaders. Meanwhile, Russia’s role as an arms supplier has diminished, with major buyers like India shifting toward Western alternatives.

As European governments allocate substantial funding to strengthen their defense industries, the coming years will determine whether the continent can achieve greater military independence or remain reliant on foreign suppliers.

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