From tariffs to the Ukraine war, Donald Trump has engaged in diplomatic disputes worldwide since his January 20 inauguration. While he presents his approach as putting “America first,” some global leaders have seen political benefits. Data shows that leaders who negotiate with Trump without yielding too much are gaining in approval ratings.
Canada: Trudeau’s Exit and Liberal Surge
Canada’s Justin Trudeau stepped down as prime minister on March 9, making way for economist Mark Carney. Trudeau had faced mounting pressure due to rising living costs, internal party conflicts, and Trump’s tariff threats. His finance minister, Chrystia Freeland, resigned in December 2024 over disagreements on handling Trump.
Trudeau initially avoided direct confrontation but later took a firmer stance when Trump imposed tariffs. His departure, coupled with Carney’s arrival and concerns over Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre’s Trump-like politics, helped the Liberals recover in polls. While Conservatives led by 24 percentage points in January, by mid-March, the gap shrank to just 5.5 points.
Mexico: Sheinbaum’s Popularity Soars
Mexico’s Claudia Sheinbaum, the country’s first female president, responded to Trump’s tariff threats by deploying 10,000 National Guard troops to the US-Mexico border. Trump delayed some tariffs after discussions with her, citing “respect” for her leadership.
Sheinbaum’s approval ratings have surged, with 85% support in February—the highest for a Mexican president in 30 years. Analysts credit this to her handling of Trump, along with social welfare policies inherited from her predecessor.
Ukraine: Zelenskyy’s Approval Rises Amid Trump Tensions
Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine and accused President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of being ungrateful. Zelenskyy maintained a conciliatory tone, leading to a ceasefire plan. His approval rating rose from 57% to 67% in March, as Ukrainians rallied behind him against perceived US hostility.
